A Forecast Matrix for Enhanced Decision Support Services
Conor Lahiff, National Weather Service, South Burlington, VT
Brooke Taber, National Weather Service
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Abstract
A Forecast Matrix for Enhanced Decision Support Services

Conor T. Lahiff and Brooke O. Taber

NOAA National Weather Service

Burlington, Vermont

                In conjunction with the National Weather Service (NWS) vision of building a Weather-Ready Nation, the local NWS office in Burlington, Vermont has been actively engaged in testing a new tool to enhance impact based decision support services (IDSS) to local, state, and regional decision makers. The goal of this project is to provide forecasters with the ability to deliver a forecast briefing package that effectively communicates potential impacts, tailored to user-defined weather thresholds. The development of this tool will be coordinated with the NWS Impacts Catalog development to ensure any duplication is avoided.

Using official forecast data contained in the NWS National Digital Forecast Database, user requested weather elements are readily displayed in a simple color-coded table representing the expected impacts. Forecasters can adjust critical thresholds based upon user input, with the capability of highlighting hourly trends or producing daily forecast information seven days in advance for critical planning purposes to core partners.

This forecast matrix will provide forecasters with a consistent product and professionally designed template for IDSS events. It will be utilized in weekly and email briefings as well as planning purposes for outdoor events. This new tool is expected to strengthen partnerships with our emergency management community and specialized user groups by meeting their specific event needs or requirements.